California Marijuana Legalization Measure Has Nine-Point Lead in Latest Poll

If booze is legal and kills people and ruins lives ,then pot has to be ,so the law will no longer look foolish by keeping the far,far less harmful substance illegal !!  Plus the state needs the revenue now going to criminals to buy energy and much more .  Lead  the " Way " and the Nation will follow for certain .

Remember people, California has the seventh largest economy in the world. This is like a big time nation doing this, and the great thing is it's in our own backyard.  If California does this, other states will surely follow...you can count on that!  Wooohooo, sanity may soon finally prevail!  And, the thing is just about all politicians want it to happen, they're just too afraid to associate themselves with the issue because of political blowback.  Think of the revenues generated, think of the savings in law enforcement -- now we can solve more real crimes like murders, rapes, arson, etc.  This ultimately is a bipartisan issue to be solved in a bipartisan way, but we all know the powers that be are not that all into bipartisanship these days and for sure wouldn't choose this issue to come together over.  Believe me, this is the only way for now to get this done.  I hope you are excited!  I'm donating again to the campaign immediately.

- Jim

Article states: "Good [news] because nine points is a nice cushion six weeks out from election day. But not great because Prop 19 is still polling under 50% when it needs 50% plus one vote to win."

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I have seen this statement in the news after previous polls, and it confuses me. My understanding is that the polls, such as this most recent one, offer a choice of "undecided" as a potential response. Thus, during polls like this one from PPP, the percentages of "Support" or "Oppose" NEVER add up to one hundred.

BUT, during the actual vote, there is no "undecided" on the ballot. So, one side or the other is gonna get greater than 50% of the vote, right? Isn't it impossible for there to be less than 50% for both support and oppose? Thus, given that the YES on Prop 19 response has consistently polled higher than the "oppose" responders, we have every reason to expect that Prop 19 will garner greater than 50% of the vote... unless nearly every single "undecided" comes out in opposition to Prop 19, which is unlikely.

The accumulated poll numbers from all Prop 19 polls this year are available at polltracker website. I averaged the Yes vs No votes, determined the standard deviation and did a simple students T-test to determine if the Yes votes are statistically significantly greater than the No votes: Results --> Yes Votes so far (Avg, 48.44; S.D., 2.3) & No Votes so far (Avg, 42.67; S.D., 4.92). If the p value is < 0.05 then the Yes votes are significantly greater than the No votes. The calculated p value is 0.01., thus the Yes votes are statistically greater.

Don't get overconfident with these positive numbers, the election will be close and will rely on all Prop. 19 supporters actually showing up on election day. Do your part.

and will thus not be out voting.

 Ganja Granny Arlene sez ALL eyes are on California. Everyone is depending on supporters in California to vote in November.This will be a great turning point for all concerned. We can't expect someone else to do it! We are someone else! I live in NYC. I was born in 1937 the year of prohibition & I am a 3rd stage Breast Cancer survivor. We want it Legalized NOW here and everywhere in this universe. There is absolutely no prejudice in Cannabis. Everyone is included. Your vote will make the change we want.  

Okay, hypothetically, let's say there are 1,000 potential voters in California.

Let's also that that, for whatever reason, 200 decide to abstain and not vote on Proposition 19.

Amongst the 800 that do vote on it, 450 vote in favor while 350 oppose.

This would mean that 56% of people that voted on the issue voted yes.  However, it also means that only 45% of total voters voted on it.

My question is, in order to win, does it need 51% of all votes or 51% of the votes on this issue alone?

You can be sure the prohibitionists have roomfuls of media spies watching for a likely atrocity story-- anywhere, any time shortly before November 2-- to pounce on and play up for big headlines.  Like a traffic accident, or a suicide, or abuse of a child, associated with someone having had a toke previously.  They are calculating to weave cunning confusions of correlation and causation. 

Might be smart to be ready with brilliantly effective reminders that alcohol produces over 10,000 traffic deaths a year, over 10,000 murders a year, AND that "a $igarette or two" is favored self-premedication #1 for emboldening a drunk to drive, helping an angry drunk remember to take the gun along, or creating the "courage" to perpetrate a titillating but horrible sexual transaction.

"I'll be back" (Arnold Schwarzenegger talking privately to the powerful anti-marijuana groups last year while he publicly indicated support for legal reform of the marijuana laws in California). "Hasta la vista" (reply to Governor Schwarzenegger by aforementioned power-groups).

If old people would just die, we could have a decent place to live.

We could have pot and cheap health care.

Financial problems solved...