Drug War Chronicle Book Review: "Lies, Damned Lies, and Drug War Statistics: A Critical Analysis of Claims Made by the Office of National Drug Control Policy," by Matthew Robinson and Renee Scherlen (2007, State University of New York Press, 268 pp., $27)
(We reprint our widely-read book review of three weeks ago. Please click here to order a copy through our latest membership offer.)
There is probably not a single drug reformer alive who, at some point, has not sputtered into his coffee cup upon hearing some inane pronouncement from drug czar John Walters. We know what he is saying is wrong and unjustifiable. Sometimes we even go to the effort of thoroughly debunking one of his outrageous claims. It's not that hard to do, really, but up until now, no one had thoroughly deconstructed the claims made by the Office of National Drug Control Strategy (ONDCP, the drug czar's office), testing them against the norms of science and reason.
That has changed with the recent publication of "Lies, Damned Lies, and Drug War Statistics," by Appalachian State University Associate Professor of Criminal Justice Matthew Robinson and Associate Professor of Political Science Renee Scherlen. Since the annual National Drug Control Strategy reports put out by ONDCP form the basis for crafting federal drug policy, this pair of professors decided to systematically put to the test the claims made by ONDCP as a foundation for those policies.

ONDCP misrepresents 'Just Say No' connection, 2003 strategy (graphic appears courtesy Prof. Robinson)
In order to gauge the accuracy of ONDCP pronouncements, the authors look at three broad sets of claims made by ONDCP: Claims of success in reducing drug use, claims of success in "healing" America's drug users, and claims of success in disrupting drug markets. Robinson and Scherlen examine the annual National Drug Strategy reports beginning in 2000 and extending through 2005 to look at what ONDCP says it is accomplishing in these three broad areas. These three categories describe what it is ONDCP is supposed to be achieving, but, as the authors so comprehensively illustrate, ONDCP is all too ready to resort to deceptive and misleading information.
Let's take claims of success in reducing drug use, for instance. In the 2001 National Drug Strategy, ONDCP produces a chart that shows a dramatic downward trend in teen drug use in the mid-1980s before remaining essentially stable throughout the 1990s. But since ONDCP and its mandate didn't exist before 1988, the chart is misleading. What it really shows is that throughout ONDCP's tenure, it has failed in its stated goal of reducing teen drug use.
Similarly, in the 2003 National Drug Strategy, in an effort to justify its prevention campaigns, ONDCP sought to show that Nancy Reagan's "Just Say No" campaign was effective in reducing teen drug use. But to do so, ONDCP relied solely on data involving 18-to-25-year-olds. Since the "Just Say No" campaign was aimed at kids, using data about young adults is "a selective and inappropriate use of statistics," as Robinson and Scherlen so gently put it.
ONCDP also has the curious habit of mentioning "successes" in one year, but failing to revisit them in following years when the numbers don't back them up. In 2000 and 2001, for example, ONDCP crowed about declining marijuana use, even though national drug surveys failed to back it up except in selective categories. But in the annual reports from 2002 to 2005, with marijuana use remaining steady, ONDCP doesn't make any specific claims regarding rates of marijuana use, nor does it provide easily accessible charts or figures. As Robinson and Scherlen note, "Indeed, it appears ONDCP ignores statistics that point to outcomes counter to the drug war."
Robinson and Scherlen go on to systematically dissect ONDCP claims about reducing drug use, "healing" drug users, and disrupting drug markets. Sometimes, they even find that the claims are justified, but this is rarely the case. What the authors repeatedly demonstrate is that ONDCP is unable or unwilling to accurately report its failures to achieve its goals and is willing and able to resort to statistical chicanery to cover up those failures.
In the final two chapters of the book, Robinson and Scherlen attempt a fair assessment of the drug war and ONDCP's ability to meet its self-imposed drug war goals, and offer a series of recommendations for what a more rational drug policy might look like. For one thing, the authors suggest, ONDCP ought to be either terminated or removed from the White House. For an accurate rendition of the numbers regarding drug use, they must be removed from the hothouse political atmosphere of the White House. Currently, the authors argue, ONDCP acts as a "generator and defender of a given ideology in the drug war."
"Lies, Damned Lies, and Drug War Statistics" is surprisingly easy to read, and Robinson and Scherlen have done a huge favor not only to critics of current drug policy by compiling this damning critique of ONDCP claims, but also to anyone interested in how data is compiled, presented, and misused by bureaucrats attempting to guard their domains. It should be required reading for members of Congress, though, sadly, that is unlikely to happen.
there is so much discussion
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 02/09/2009 - 3:42pmthere is so much discussion about drugs and both prescription and non-prescription and also prescription drugs from canada and all the pharmacies it's hard to tell what is right and what is not.
Interesting take. I wonder
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 03/02/2009 - 4:56pmInteresting take. I wonder if this 'forbidden fruit' appeal happens with other illegal drugs too. Randy - Life Coach Los Angeles
It should be required reading for members of Congress.
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 03/16/2007 - 12:10pmI'd be happy if they would read the bills they sign into law, though, sadly, that is unlikely to happen.
Every federal bureaucracy
Comment posted by aniku on Sat, 06/20/2009 - 8:11amEvery federal bureaucracy has to justify its budget, and it does so by setting goals and demonstrating how well it has or has not met those goals. But, as Robinson and Scherlen so admirably demonstrate with example after example of the misleading use of statistics and visual graphics, ONDCP is, in many, many ways, distorting reality to paint a rosier picture of its "successes" in waging the war on drugs. They do so in a calm, deliberate, and understated manner rather than engaging in a partisan attack on a set of policies they clearly feel are a disaster.
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Everybody's doing it . . .
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 03/16/2007 - 12:20pmRecreational drugs can't get any more popular than they are now, so prohibition isn't needed any more.
Prohibition turned me On!!!
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 03/16/2007 - 2:20pmLike the first poster I thank Prohibition for bringi dope to my attention ata time I was really getting into booze. the law worked out well for me. kinda ironic....
Spinning?
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 03/16/2007 - 4:41pmPoor Harry J must be spinning in the grave. If it wasn't for him the phrase "recreational drugs" wouldn't even exist. Strange how bad law always does the opposite of what's it's expecteded to do.
The timeliness of this
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 03/16/2007 - 5:03pmThe timeliness of this book's advent couldn't be better; last year the Government Accounting Office gave the ONDCP a bureaucratic black eye for exactly the practices this book evidently covers. The recommendations of the report were unusually punitive: they suggested that the ONDCP staff have their salaries cut if they couldn't prove their efficacy in stemming illegal drug usage. Immediately afterwards, in a bald-faced move to protect its slice of the fed budget, the ONDCP launched a propaganda assault to attempt to blunt the criticism of its' recorded ineffectiveness by claiming that such studies as Monitoring the Future vindicated their policies. But the writing's on the bureaucratic wall, and nothing that ONDCP tries to do can erase the evidence of past failures.
The Statistical Game to Prey on the Poor While Gov't Porks Away!
Comment posted by Anonymous on Wed, 03/21/2007 - 1:18pmVery refreshing information. As a 53 year-old, third generation of being in an environment of "recreational drugs" and now a son in prison for (the first one in the family) distribution & intent to sell drugs and carrying a weapon. He was incarcerated for 1 year in solitaire confinement before he was 18 to wait till he turned of age to be sentenced finally for 10 years (5 years time/ 5 years parole) for a weight of a 8 ball (X & crack) and 2 concealed weapons without the clip. I am not making excuses for stupidity. My head told me the first time to keep him in juvenile hall but knowing that statistics are for the government to manipulate, I didn't do the tuff-love thing. However, he was/is used to send out the message that the state and the feds to do not play when it comes to keeping up with statistics. I know folks that have been in more dealings and somehow are not incarcerated as long. Money plays a big part for expensive legal proceedings. The corrupt government to play the statistical game has always been a mystery to me. When I took criminology in undergrad school, I would wonder who is double-checking the statistics. Finally, the statistical game is being used to expose the truth. I love you all for bringing some justice at least in writing for now.
Big Cheese!!!
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 04/04/2008 - 1:13pmUnfortunately there are some cheap killing drugs like “cheese heroin” which will force any decent drug rehab to face a sad reality: people won’t live to attend their programs.
This really needs to be said
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 05/16/2008 - 12:45amI think it's very important to say that drug addiction will recur over and over if it's not correctly treated with the right combination of medical and psychological guidance by trained professionals. It may be possible to quit drugs in the short term without seeking realistic drug rehab treatment, but only a good drug rehab center can honestly provide you with the tools needed to stay clean for the remainder of your life.
maybe i dont want to stay clean
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 05/23/2008 - 3:04pmi use drugs recreationally. i do not have an addiction. i do not engage in self-destructive behavior. i have never stolen to get high, i have never neglected my responsibilities to get high. i have never gone hungry so i could spend my last 50 on a gram. i don't need to "stay clean for the remainder of my life" to be a well- adjusted, responsible, loving parent, and intelligent contributing member to society.
i hate to seem confrontational, but your title line "this really needs to be said," quite frankly needs to never be said if its addressed to everyone that uses drugs, suggesting responsible recreational use of a plant in the privacy of my own home is a de facto problem.
if you want to stay clean, that's your right and i won't tell you that the way you live your life is wrong. please don't insinuate that i am defective if i happen to have a different philosophy.
Every federal bureaucracy
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 06/08/2009 - 2:59amEvery federal bureaucracy has to justify its budget, and it does so by setting goals and demonstrating how well it has or has not met those goals. But, as Robinson and Scherlen so admirably demonstrate with example after example of the misleading use of statistics and visual graphics, ONDCP is, in many, many ways, distorting reality to paint a rosier picture of its "successes" in waging the war on drugs. how to make earthworm farm
Dear Maybe I don't want to stay clean
Comment posted by Anonymous on Wed, 06/11/2008 - 5:38pmWhile you may honestly believe that you are not addicted to drugs and that you have never neglected your responsibilities, etc., you are on your way down. It is understandable that you are tired of hearing that recreational drug use is wrong, but most people cannot maintain control and do in fact become addicted.
Once you admit you have a problem, getting into a drug rehab like www.gatehouseacademy.com is the only viable choice for you. For now you may feel that you have control, but you are most likely self-medicating because you have an undiagnosed disorder such as depression or ADHA. You will eventually find yourself dependent and when you do, I hope that you will seek help.
be a little more open minded
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sat, 10/04/2008 - 8:20pm(i'm not 'maybe i don't want to stay clean', i'm a different person)
Absolute abstinence is a good philosophy like being a vegetarian is a good philosophy. However, there are pros and cons to eating a little meat once in a while (not just in physical terms, but also in psychological terms). It is greatly a matter of philosophy. Drug use is the same.
As a frequent marijuana user
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 12/22/2008 - 4:05pmAs a frequent marijuana user myself.. I agree with the statement "Maybe I don't want to be clean for the remainder of my life." Just because one uses a drug doesn't mean it will lead to addiction, nor that it is used due to an undiagnosed disorder. Please don't assume that all drug users have a hidden reason for their usage. Have you ever thought that maybe some people just use it for a good time when they have a few moments?
I used to do a lot of pills when I was a teen, and even then I'd have friends asking "Do you need to talk to somebody?" "Is everything ok?" Yeah, everything was fine.. I was just having a good time. I had fun doing the pills. Sure, it was dangerous, which is why I no longer do them. All I'm trying to say is that not each user falls into the same category of dependancy. Just as there are alcoholics who drink everyday because they hate their lives, and then there are those who get drunk once a month with their friends.
Just don't judge somebody's usage before you know why they even are users.
Solutions for Addiction
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sun, 06/22/2008 - 2:10pmInstead of arguing about who is right or wrong we need to work together to find drug and alcohol rehabilitation like cocaine treatment for people addicted to cocaine.
Substance addiction
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sat, 06/28/2008 - 8:04amThe addiction of drug effects according to the type of substance addicted like nicotine, caffeine etc. This rehab center provides treatment according to substance adducted so that the patient can easily overcome from addiction.
The Solution
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 06/30/2008 - 2:26pmThe method the Government uses to control drugs and shape drug policy is incompetent and has been that way for a great many years. There will always be drugs and drug users (hence addiction treatment centers). Attempting to disrupt the flow of drugs into this country is an impossible task to accomplish. The Government needs to spend more time on drug prevention and funding drug rehabs. There are many Americans who want and need drug treatment but will die this year from drug addiction due to lack of funds for treatment or waiting to enter Government programs. If the U.S. Government spent a tenth of the money it spends attempting to disrupt the drug trade on drug programs and treatment America would be a much different place.
Addiction comes in many forms today
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sat, 10/25/2008 - 1:33amToday people are addicted to various passions, activities and substances. Many say that drug addiction will recur multiple times if it's not treated at the source. One of the more interesting things is that drug addiction is very similar to our long term addiction to automobiles and gasoline. It may be possible to quit drugs in the short term without seeking realistic drug rehab treatment, which is not that dissimilar for those that are wanting to replace their gas loving car with a water powered car. However, in my humble opinion, only a successful drug addiction treatment will ever provide drug abusers with the solution that’s required to keep them off drugs.
How to Stop the War on Drugs and Help Someone ..
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sun, 11/23/2008 - 3:07pmThere are some very good resources out there which can help find an appropriate treatment center for an individual.
As ,there are all different types of Rehabilitation centers with different programs to choose from.
These resources make it easier to find the appropriate addiction treatment and center that is best suited for the individual and/or the family’s needs better, with their expertise and knowledge.
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Comment posted by Anonymous on Sun, 11/23/2008 - 10:53pmTo whom this may concern,
Hello,
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Since reciprocal links (my site linking to yours and yours to mine) have less value, I can give you a similar quality link from another quality sites that we own.
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Wait, you’re a lot like a
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sat, 01/31/2009 - 11:39amWait, you’re a lot like a friend of mine :) the website is good. it’s nice to know that i won’t have to delete anymore emails that aren’t of interest but honestly, you have offered lots of useful information. acne no more review
My Addiction and Recovery
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 02/02/2009 - 10:18pmI was an alcoholic for 14 years and i was powerless over alcohol and my lives had became unmanageable and after 14 years now i am sober through AA(alcoholic anonymous)since 5 years and happy with my family.Thank you.
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Comment posted by Anonymous on Tue, 02/03/2009 - 9:39amHi, any idea to place a banner in my blog.Review and place.Take your own time.Thank you.
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Comment posted by Anonymous on Tue, 02/03/2009 - 10:52amI totaly agree with your point here! I admire the stuff you post and the quality information you offer in your blog! Keep up the awesome work dude.
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I was just having a good
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 02/06/2009 - 12:44pmI was just having a good time. I had fun doing the pills. Sure, it was dangerous, which is why I no longer do them. All I'm trying to say is that not each user falls into the same category of dependancy and Eve Online Guide. Just as there are alcoholics who drink everyday because they hate their lives, and then there are those who get drunk once a month with their friends.
My head told me the first
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 02/06/2009 - 12:46pmMy head told me the first time to keep him in juvenile hall but knowing that statistics are for the government to manipulate, I didn't do the tuff-love thing. However, he was/is used to send out the message that the state and the feds to do not play when it comes to keeping up with statistics. I know folks that have been in more dealings and somehow are not incarcerated as long. Money plays a big part for expensive legal proceedings. The corrupt government to play the statistical game has always been a mystery to me. Buy Generic Viagra Erectile Dysfunction Syndrome
Attempting to disrupt the
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 02/06/2009 - 10:14pmAttempting to disrupt the flow of drugs into this country is an impossible task to accomplish. The Government needs to spend more time on drug prevention and funding drug rehabs. There are many Americans who want and need drug treatment but will die this year from drug addiction due to lack of funds for treatment or waiting to enter Government programs. If the U.S. Government spent a tenth of the money it spends attempting to disrupt the drug trade on drug programs and treatment America would be a much different place.Family Eye Care
I used to do a lot of pills
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sun, 02/08/2009 - 12:14pmI used to do a lot of pills when I was a teen, and even then I'd have friends asking "Do you need to talk to somebody?" "Is everything ok?" Yeah, everything was fine.. I was just having a good time. I had fun doing the pills. Sure, it was dangerous, which is why I no longer do them. All I'm trying to say is that not each user falls into the same category of dependancy. Just as there are alcoholics who drink everyday because they hate their lives, and then there are those who get drunk once a month with their friends.Resin Wicker Furniture
Alcoholism
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sun, 02/08/2009 - 9:46pmAlcoholism is a chronic disease that makes your body dependent on alcohol. You may be obsessed with alcohol and unable to control how much you drink, even though your drinking is causing serious problems with your relationships, health, work and finances.
It’s possible to have a problem with alcohol, but not display all the characteristics of alcoholism. This is known as “alcohol abuse,” which means you engage in excessive drinking that causes health or social problems, but you aren’t dependent on alcohol and haven’t fully lost control over the use of alcohol.
Although many people assume otherwise, alcoholism is a treatable disease. Medications, counseling and self-help groups are among the therapies that can provide ongoing support to help you recover from alcoholism.
One of the more interesting
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 02/09/2009 - 11:02amOne of the more interesting things is that drug addiction is very similar to our long term addiction to automobiles and gasoline. It may be possible to quit drugs in the short term without seeking realistic drug rehab treatment, which is not that dissimilar for those that are wanting to replace their gas loving car with a water powered car. allergic rhinitis treatment
It may be possible to quit
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 02/09/2009 - 11:38amIt may be possible to quit drugs in the short term without seeking realistic drug rehab treatment, which is not that dissimilar for those that are wanting to replace their gas loving car with a water powered car. However, in my humble opinion, only a successful drug addiction treatment will ever provide drug abusers with the solution that’s required to keep them off drugs. dog arthritis treatment
ONDCP produces a chart that
Comment posted by Anonymous on Wed, 02/11/2009 - 7:39amONDCP produces a chart that shows a dramatic downward trend in teen drug use in the mid-1980s before remaining essentially stable throughout the 1990s. But since ONDCP and its mandate didn't exist before 1988, the chart is misleading. What it really shows is that throughout ONDCP's tenure, it has failed in its stated goal of reducing teen drug use.diabetic retinopathy treatment
For one thing, the authors
Comment posted by Anonymous on Wed, 02/11/2009 - 8:52amFor one thing, the authors suggest, ONDCP ought to be either terminated or removed from the White House. For an accurate rendition of the numbers regarding drug use, they must be removed from the hothouse political atmosphere of the White House. Currently, the authors argue, ONDCP acts as a "generator and defender of a given ideology in the drug war." fighting wheat allergy
For an accurate rendition of
Comment posted by Anonymous on Tue, 06/16/2009 - 3:24amFor an accurate rendition of the numbers regarding drug use, they must be removed from the hothouse political atmosphere of the White House. combat the fat reviews, how to make organic compost
I wanted to thank you for
Comment posted by Anonymous on Wed, 02/11/2009 - 9:46amI wanted to thank you for this great read!! I definitely enjoying every little bit of it :) I have you bookmarked to check out new stuff you post. how to relieve constipation
Very interesting read
Comment posted by Anonymous on Thu, 02/12/2009 - 12:55amI learned a lot - thank you for sharing this!
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Nicotine addiction
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sat, 02/14/2009 - 8:51pmNicotine addiction is an uncontrollable dependence on the highly addictive nicotine stimulant present in tobacco products. Nicotine alters the levels of certain chemicals in the brain that causes smokers to experience pleasurable changes to mood and concentration. When a smoker stops smoking they crave the nicotine effects and can suffer withdrawal symptoms such as anxiety, depression and irritable.
Globalization hit organized
Comment posted by Anonymous on Sun, 02/15/2009 - 11:05amGlobalization hit organized crime over the last decade and now is integral to its most profitable business -- the international narcotics traffic. Once a regional problem involving a customer base of a few million businesses such as pharmaceutic,Modular Display Systems, and barely a billion dollars in sales, the illegal drug industry is now a worldwide enterprise with tens of millions of hard core consumers spending hundreds of billions (see the chart) on opiates, cocaine and amphetamines and marijuana, as well as other drugs.
The single largest marketplace for illegal drugs continues to be the United States. Although the market has decreased dramatically since its heyday in the mid-80's, close to thirteen million Americans still think nothing about occasionally buying a gram of cocaine, a few hits of ecstasy or a quarter ounce of weed to party with their friends on the weekends.
Caffeine Content
Comment posted by Anonymous on Mon, 02/16/2009 - 12:01pm
Caffeine addiction
In this article, we are going to discuss the importance of caffeine addiction and the most important facts ictions in the world, just like cocaine and marihuana. Caffeine addiction sometimabout it, as caffeine addiction is something we all must prevent in order for us to be healthy and stay that way for years. We are also going to mention some significant facts about caffeine effects and how caffeine effects may affect our body performance considerably.
Caffeine addiction is one of the most famous types of addes has been considered a lie, but it is a really, because caffeine is a stimulant that becomes addictive within a certain period of time. Interestingly, caffeine addiction shows up when you are not expecting it, and it does not necessarily show up because we want to.
Pure caffeine is, chemically speaking, a plant-based alkaloid that stimulates the central nervous system in any living creature that intakes it. Biologically, caffeine serves as a form of pest control for certain plants like cacao trees, coffee shrubs, yuba mate and tea trees; it causes insects and other pests to fall down from the effects of over-stimulation. So, just like those pests and insects that I mentioned, caffeine also produces stimulation in our central nervous system, which usually makes us feel more energized, invigorating and active.
There is something called caffeine withdrawal, which refers to the sudden denial of us to consume caffeine, and it happens when regular consumers of caffeinated products may experience painful headaches if the body is denied caffeine. These headaches are caused by excess blood gathering in the area around the brain and sinus cavities, so without the stimulation provided by caffeine, the blood vessels shrink, restricting the blood flow. The traditional cure for caffeine withdrawal is to ingest more caffeine, which is not a healthy solution and this is also why many headache medications contain small amounts of caffeine.You can more information for the Caffeine addiction in: http://yourcaffeineaddiction.com/
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Prohibition's Hidden Virtue?
Comment posted by Anonymous on Fri, 03/16/2007 - 12:08pmI love to toke, and I'll do it to my dying day; weird thing, though, it was its legal status that got me interested enough to check it out, in the first place.
Had it been legal, I wouldn't have bothered.